LIVE MLB MODEL — 2026 SEASON

THE MACHINE FOUND THE EDGE. YOUR JOB IS TO BET IT.

Sharp Retriever runs a live XGBoost model against sharp book consensus lines 24/7. When edge is detected, you get the play — with exact sizing, timing, and closing line value tracked on every bet.

See Today's Free Picks Start 7-Day Trial — $19

56.3% Win Rate on Spreads+1.2% CLV Per PlayLive MLB Model — Season Pass $199

Example Output

What a Sharp Retriever Play Looks Like

MLBToday · 7:05 PM ET

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Yankees @ Red Sox

Spread · Yankees -1.5

EDGE

+4.2%

WIN PROBABILITY

58.3%

SIZING

2.5 units

CLV TARGET

+1.5

SHARP CONSENSUSPinnacleCirca

Subscriber plays include full edge breakdown, sharp book sourcing, and Kelly-based unit sizing. Free tier shows yesterday's plays only.

Process

Three Steps. No Guesswork.

MODEL RUNS

Our XGBoost model ingests sharp book lines from Pinnacle, Circa, and BookiePro every 30 minutes. It calculates true win probability and compares it against market odds to find mathematical edge.

EDGE DETECTED

When edge clears our threshold, the play enters validation and timing. We only publish plays with positive expected value and confirmed sharp consensus. No gut calls. No touts.

YOU BET IT

Plays drop to your dashboard with exact unit sizing based on Kelly Criterion. Every bet is tracked for closing line value — the single best predictor of long-term profitability.

Plans

One Sport. One Model. Built to Win.

FREE

Yesterday's plays. No edge data. No sizing. See the format before you commit.

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The Model Doesn't Lie.

53.9%

Moneyline Accuracy

61.3%

Spread Accuracy

53.3%

Totals Accuracy

+1.35

Avg CLV Per Play

All results independently verifiable. We track every play from publish time to closing line.

FAQ